1 00:00:04,550 --> 00:00:02,360 alright I'm ready for the answer what is 2 00:00:07,849 --> 00:00:04,560 different about our response to this 3 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:07,859 virus versus the ones you cite or why 4 00:00:14,810 --> 00:00:11,490 why the difference it's us it's the 5 00:00:15,970 --> 00:00:14,820 reaction and I think a few things have 6 00:00:20,210 --> 00:00:15,980 been going on here 7 00:00:25,670 --> 00:00:20,220 one is they've been working on this by 8 00:00:29,089 --> 00:00:25,680 they I mean the public health people the 9 00:00:33,049 --> 00:00:29,099 media they've been working on this since 10 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:33,059 aids which was the first epidemic that's 11 00:00:39,229 --> 00:00:35,210 that's where I kind of ground my teeth 12 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:39,239 beginning in 1987 I wrote a book on it I 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:43,050 wrote countless articles you may recall 14 00:00:49,910 --> 00:00:46,890 we were told the the disease of them is 15 00:00:54,770 --> 00:00:49,920 suddenly the disease of us aids doesn't 16 00:00:58,549 --> 00:00:54,780 discriminate on and on and on and it was 17 00:01:04,310 --> 00:00:58,559 off it was all fake aids was always a 18 00:01:06,980 --> 00:01:04,320 disease of gay men intravenous drug 19 00:01:09,950 --> 00:01:06,990 users and originally recipients of blood 20 00:01:12,140 --> 00:01:09,960 and blood products it was always that 21 00:01:14,960 --> 00:01:12,150 way it remains that way in the United 22 00:01:17,690 --> 00:01:14,970 States today these people lied I mean 23 00:01:19,490 --> 00:01:17,700 there's no polite way of saying they 24 00:01:23,330 --> 00:01:19,500 lied because they thought they were 25 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:23,340 doing you know the Lord the Lord's work 26 00:01:30,980 --> 00:01:26,850 they decided that to the extent the AIDS 27 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:30,990 was seen as a disease of undesirables it 28 00:01:36,230 --> 00:01:33,210 wouldn't get the kind of attention and 29 00:01:39,740 --> 00:01:36,240 money it deserved and I will grant them 30 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:39,750 this they were incredibly successful to 31 00:01:47,510 --> 00:01:43,530 this day AIDS is the second biggest line 32 00:01:50,780 --> 00:01:47,520 item in the the National Institutes of 33 00:01:53,149 --> 00:01:50,790 Health Research budget my point was the 34 00:01:56,660 --> 00:01:53,159 bad guys as I as I call them they don't 35 00:02:00,139 --> 00:01:56,670 see themselves as bad guys but they were 36 00:02:03,170 --> 00:02:00,149 liars and they intentionally lied and 37 00:02:05,929 --> 00:02:03,180 they got away with it they got away with 38 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:05,939 it beyond their wildest dreams the ends 39 00:02:08,900 --> 00:02:07,770 justified the means in their mind though 40 00:02:12,500 --> 00:02:08,910 because they didn't want this to be a 41 00:02:13,940 --> 00:02:12,510 stigmatized community the gays etc and 42 00:02:15,530 --> 00:02:13,950 so they said let's 43 00:02:17,510 --> 00:02:15,540 like this affects everyone equally I 44 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:17,520 totally agree with you and I've always 45 00:02:21,229 --> 00:02:19,050 thought that and you've proven it with 46 00:02:24,530 --> 00:02:21,239 your book so okay keep going 47 00:02:28,309 --> 00:02:24,540 but it's not just the idea it's the 48 00:02:30,350 --> 00:02:28,319 people themselves because two of the 49 00:02:33,350 --> 00:02:30,360 biggest culprits perhaps you've heard 50 00:02:37,100 --> 00:02:33,360 their names were Anthony foul G and 51 00:02:42,920 --> 00:02:37,110 Robert Redfield if you look at my book 52 00:02:46,940 --> 00:02:42,930 my 1990 book Redfield is on 24 different 53 00:02:49,699 --> 00:02:46,950 pages of my book vouchers and there are 54 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:49,709 other fewer pages but foul she actually 55 00:02:56,539 --> 00:02:53,250 kicked off basically the hysteria 56 00:03:00,589 --> 00:02:56,549 with a paper that he's solely authored 57 00:03:03,890 --> 00:03:00,599 in 1983 saying it looked like aids could 58 00:03:06,979 --> 00:03:03,900 be spread through basically like a flu 59 00:03:10,250 --> 00:03:06,989 if you be spread within a family he 60 00:03:12,259 --> 00:03:10,260 published that paper in 1983 the very 61 00:03:15,949 --> 00:03:12,269 next year he was appointed to his 62 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:15,959 current position at the National 63 00:03:22,190 --> 00:03:19,370 infectious National Institute of 64 00:03:24,740 --> 00:03:22,200 allergies and infectious diseases that 65 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:24,750 was his reward for being spectacularly 66 00:03:31,849 --> 00:03:28,170 wrong but wrong in the right direction 67 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:31,859 he was alarmist ly wrong Redfield was 68 00:03:37,879 --> 00:03:35,130 wrong basically just across the board 69 00:03:40,490 --> 00:03:37,889 including co-authoring a paper that said 70 00:03:44,809 --> 00:03:40,500 your chance of getting AIDS through 71 00:03:49,940 --> 00:03:44,819 vaginal contact was fifty percent per 72 00:03:52,490 --> 00:03:49,950 sex act so basically after three acts of 73 00:03:55,420 --> 00:03:52,500 sex between a man and a woman if one or 74 00:03:58,699 --> 00:03:55,430 the other had HIV the other would get it 75 00:04:00,979 --> 00:03:58,709 that's that's insane it's it's probably 76 00:04:03,710 --> 00:04:00,989 on the order of thousands of acts of 77 00:04:04,879 --> 00:04:03,720 intercourse thousands so Redfield was 78 00:04:12,740 --> 00:04:04,889 spectacularly wrong 79 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:12,750 now one of the two top infectious 80 00:04:18,740 --> 00:04:14,370 disease people in the country and 81 00:04:20,870 --> 00:04:18,750 Redfield is the other one it pays to be 82 00:04:23,029 --> 00:04:20,880 spectacularly wrong if you're wrong in 83 00:04:26,420 --> 00:04:23,039 the right direction so my point in 84 00:04:27,410 --> 00:04:26,430 bringing was bringing all this up is the 85 00:04:29,510 --> 00:04:27,420 bad guys 86 00:04:32,090 --> 00:04:29,520 as I put it public health people the 87 00:04:34,070 --> 00:04:32,100 media they've learned from AIDS that you 88 00:04:37,250 --> 00:04:34,080 cannot just get away with this 89 00:04:39,740 --> 00:04:37,260 but spectacularly so so we have seen it 90 00:04:41,750 --> 00:04:39,750 time and again since we saw it with 91 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:41,760 avian flu that was supposed to kill 92 00:04:47,150 --> 00:04:43,410 millions and millions of people 93 00:04:48,890 --> 00:04:47,160 it kills 400 we saw it with SARS it was 94 00:04:53,330 --> 00:04:48,900 supposed to kill millions and millions 95 00:04:55,970 --> 00:04:53,340 of people he killed 744 we saw with mad 96 00:04:59,320 --> 00:04:55,980 cow disease that a guy named Neil 97 00:05:02,420 --> 00:04:59,330 Ferguson said would kill as many as 98 00:05:05,690 --> 00:05:02,430 50,000 people it killed a couple of 99 00:05:09,410 --> 00:05:05,700 hundred Neil Ferguson also weighed in on 100 00:05:12,410 --> 00:05:09,420 avian flu a couple million there again 101 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:12,420 it kills about 400 people yeah that's 102 00:05:19,790 --> 00:05:15,450 the same Neil Ferguson that came up with 103 00:05:23,900 --> 00:05:19,800 the model saying as many as 2.2 million 104 00:05:27,290 --> 00:05:23,910 American deaths from covin 19 Neil 105 00:05:30,260 --> 00:05:27,300 Ferguson personally learned that the 106 00:05:34,310 --> 00:05:30,270 more outrageous you are the more wrong 107 00:05:35,750 --> 00:05:34,320 you are the more you are rewarded all of 108 00:05:41,210 --> 00:05:35,760 these people have been taught 109 00:05:43,730 --> 00:05:41,220 Ebola one Ebola to I mean I Zika virus I 110 00:05:46,370 --> 00:05:43,740 wrote about all of these things I was 111 00:05:49,820 --> 00:05:46,380 right they were wrong look where I am 112 00:05:53,090 --> 00:05:49,830 look where they are we each and every 113 00:05:55,550 --> 00:05:53,100 foe epidemic each and every for disaster 114 00:05:58,250 --> 00:05:55,560 these people learned we can get away 115 00:06:01,160 --> 00:05:58,260 with this well and also aren't doctors 116 00:06:03,950 --> 00:06:01,170 in general just kind of predisposed to 117 00:06:05,540 --> 00:06:03,960 give you worst-case scenario and and 118 00:06:07,430 --> 00:06:05,550 that's kind of what they're doing they 119 00:06:09,530 --> 00:06:07,440 want to err on the side of worst-case 120 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:09,540 scenario because you know if you 121 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:11,970 underestimated something now you're 122 00:06:17,300 --> 00:06:14,610 really heads on a chopping block but if 123 00:06:19,670 --> 00:06:17,310 you overestimated it you know we air it 124 00:06:22,610 --> 00:06:19,680 on the side of extra caution everybody's 125 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:22,620 gonna cut you some slack is well okay 126 00:06:27,790 --> 00:06:24,810 thank God it didn't turn out to be that 127 00:06:31,820 --> 00:06:27,800 bad but we erred on the side of caution 128 00:06:34,340 --> 00:06:31,830 blessed is the additional factor of you 129 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:34,350 always see this they say the only reason 130 00:06:39,410 --> 00:06:36,450 it didn't turn out to be apocalyptic 131 00:06:40,589 --> 00:06:39,420 like we said it would be is because we 132 00:06:44,100 --> 00:06:40,599 said it would be a 133 00:06:46,409 --> 00:06:44,110 galenic because people listen to us and 134 00:06:50,129 --> 00:06:46,419 they took the proper actions and that's 135 00:06:54,029 --> 00:06:50,139 never been the case what what incredible 136 00:06:54,779 --> 00:06:54,039 things did we do to fight Ebola nothing 137 00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:54,789 really 138 00:07:00,600 --> 00:06:57,490 Ebola was always in African disease it 139 00:07:04,799 --> 00:07:00,610 was always slated to remain in African 140 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:04,809 disease a few cases I came by airplane 141 00:07:12,779 --> 00:07:07,770 to other countries and and nobody got 142 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:12,789 infected from those few cases SARS was 143 00:07:20,909 --> 00:07:16,330 always had a high lethality rate was 144 00:07:21,629 --> 00:07:20,919 very very hard to spread just on and on 145 00:07:26,820 --> 00:07:21,639 and on 146 00:07:29,369 --> 00:07:26,830 I personally wrote at that time these 147 00:07:30,449 --> 00:07:29,379 things are exaggerated these predictions 148 00:07:34,109 --> 00:07:30,459 are false 149 00:07:36,809 --> 00:07:34,119 I didn't write in hindsight I was right 150 00:07:41,489 --> 00:07:36,819 they were all wrong how is it that Mike 151 00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:41,499 Fomento with no formal epidemiological 152 00:07:45,480 --> 00:07:44,289 training no no formal very logical 153 00:07:47,969 --> 00:07:45,490 training or anything like that 154 00:07:50,609 --> 00:07:47,979 how was it I was right and they were all 155 00:07:52,709 --> 00:07:50,619 wrong with their their degrees and their 156 00:07:55,469 --> 00:07:52,719 positions and what happened and it 157 00:07:57,689 --> 00:07:55,479 really comes down to you know a couple 158 00:08:00,359 --> 00:07:57,699 of things I hate being wrong it just 159 00:08:02,699 --> 00:08:00,369 it's a OCD thing it just drives me nuts 160 00:08:06,269 --> 00:08:02,709 I will put in any amount of research to 161 00:08:07,829 --> 00:08:06,279 not be wrong but another thing is I want 162 00:08:10,619 --> 00:08:07,839 to be right I want to tell people the 163 00:08:12,329 --> 00:08:10,629 truth whatever it happens to be they 164 00:08:14,429 --> 00:08:12,339 don't want to be right they don't want 165 00:08:16,409 --> 00:08:14,439 itself be people the truth whatever it 166 00:08:18,779 --> 00:08:16,419 happens to be they want to exaggerate 167 00:08:21,209 --> 00:08:18,789 and isn't the other parallel to AIDS 168 00:08:23,899 --> 00:08:21,219 that just as with AIDS they wanted to 169 00:08:27,899 --> 00:08:23,909 make it appear that anyone can get this 170 00:08:29,579 --> 00:08:27,909 with coronavirus it appears very clear 171 00:08:31,499 --> 00:08:29,589 it affects the elderly and people with 172 00:08:34,259 --> 00:08:31,509 serious pre-existing health conditions 173 00:08:36,569 --> 00:08:34,269 but they don't want people to think that 174 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:36,579 all no this is just an elderly thing 175 00:08:40,740 --> 00:08:37,810 it's just people with health conditions 176 00:08:43,879 --> 00:08:40,750 and so they exaggerate how much it 177 00:08:46,319 --> 00:08:43,889 affects your average healthy person 178 00:08:49,079 --> 00:08:46,329 right you see it in the slogans like 179 00:08:52,049 --> 00:08:49,089 we're all in this together it's just 180 00:08:54,540 --> 00:08:52,059 like aids aids doesn't discriminate for 181 00:08:57,030 --> 00:08:54,550 komen it's we're all in this together 182 00:09:00,000 --> 00:08:57,040 no we're not all in this together almost 183 00:09:04,290 --> 00:09:00,010 nobody in the United States under age 20 184 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:04,300 has died of kovat under age 20 you are 185 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:07,090 less likely to get the disease you are 186 00:09:11,820 --> 00:09:10,090 less likely to spread the disease a lot 187 00:09:13,650 --> 00:09:11,830 of people don't know that and you're 188 00:09:16,290 --> 00:09:13,660 much less likely to die of the disease 189 00:09:18,420 --> 00:09:16,300 almost no chance of dying of COBIT if 190 00:09:20,460 --> 00:09:18,430 you're under 20 for that matter of 191 00:09:23,430 --> 00:09:20,470 you're under 30 there's almost no chance 192 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:23,440 of die of the disease it's basically you 193 00:09:30,300 --> 00:09:27,610 know by the time a up to 60 65 75 80 194 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:30,310 that's when your risks start to get real 195 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:33,490 and even there as you pointed out almost 196 00:09:39,660 --> 00:09:35,890 all of these people have pre-existing 197 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:39,670 conditions diabetes heart disease as a 198 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:41,410 lot of things like that 199 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:46,090 the CDC this is also a new CDC study has 200 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:51,610 found that 93% of all Coppa deaths in 201 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:54,250 the United States those people had at